El Niño Weather and Snowfall Picks

El Nino

Time to put in your 30-day notice and head south in search of untracked pow as this winters jet streams will be pushing farther down south than usual. If I was a betting man (which I am) and I cared about snow more than anything else in my life then I would bet on the following resorts to have an epic winter thanks to El Niño Snow!!

El Nino Snow Best Bets

Taos Trail MapTaos Ski Valley

Acres – 1,294
Annual Snowfall – 300”
Vertical Feet – 3,200
Peak Elevation – 12,450
Season Pass – Millennium Pass offers 70 days of skiing for $750

Taos Ski Valley snow is typically around 6% water density which = blower, chocker conditions. 2014/2015 Will be the first season to see skiers and riders using the new Lift up Kachina Peak. What used to take 45 minutes to hike will now take 6 minutes. 75” Rule before the resort really comes to life. Record Strong El Nino 72-73 – 578 inches, Last Strong El Nino 97-98: 359 inches, Moderate El Nino 94-95: 373.5 inches.

Exiting the Waterfall AreaWolf Creek Ski Area

Acres 1,600
Annual Snowfall – 430”
Vertical Feet – 1,604
Peak Elevation – 11,940
Season Pass – $853

Wolf Creek Ski Area always has the most snow in Colorado, steep then flat, free parking, the drive can be gnarly getting to and from the resort. Last Strong El Nino Winter 97-98 – 410″, Moderate 09-10 – 432″, Weak 06-07 – 426″

Mt Baldy's North Face

Mt Baldy Ski Resort

Acres – 800
Annual Snowfall – 170”
Vertical Feet – 2,100
Peak Elevation – 8,600
Season Pass – $129

Some of the best lift access backcountry runs in North America can be found less than 45 minutes from downtown Los Angeles. During epic snow events, it’s not unheard of to ski or ride 3,500 vertical feet of backcountry terrain from the top of the Mt Baldy Ski Resort to Icehouse Canyon. Runs face multiple directions

Inner Basin just outside theArizona Snowbowl resort boundaries

Arizona Snowbowl

Acres – 777
Annual Snowfall – 260”
Vertical Feet – 2,300
Peak Elevation – 11,500
Season Pass – $519

Located 14 miles outside of Flagstaff, Arizona Snowbowl picked up 316” during 97/98 El Nino,

Ski Apache Trail Map

Ski Apache

Acres 750
Annual Snowfall 180”
Vertical Feet – 1,900
Peak Elevation – 11,500
Season Pass – $460

Owned and operated by the Mescalero Apache Tribe. New Mexico’s only Gondola. Gambling nearby.

Angel Fire Resort Trail Map

Angel Fire Resort

Acres – 450
Annual Snowfall – 201”
Vertical Feet – 2,077
Peak Elevation – 10,677
Season Pass – $299

Home to the annual Big Ol’ Texas Weekend, $100 extra gets a 2-year season pass. Backup snowmaking pow just in case the goods won’t deliver snow to Angle Fire Resort. Last Strong El Nino 97-98 – 220 inches. Weak El Nino 04-05 – 226 inches

Red River

Red River Ski Area

Acres – 290
Annual Snowfall – 214”
Vertical Feet – 1,600
Peak Elevation – 10,350
Season Pass – $475

Red River New Mexico is a funky little ski town base of the lifts

 

sweet dreams..

Pacific Northwest

Early reports coming from the Pacific Northwest have looked favorable for snow which is surprising as that’s the last place I would ever recommend heading for pow during an El Niño winter. Typically El Niño in the northwest equates to warm temperatures. However, now the weather geeks are starting to shift focus towards La Nina which will follow in the next 9 months. Confused? You should be.

But back to the NW they have been getting nuked on as of late, the Mt. Baker Ski Area even opened yesterday on November 19, 2015. This is great news for all the hard cores living out in Glacier and Maple Falls that were absolutely skunked last season. However only time will tell how the remainder of their season plays out.

 

California Water Troubles

California El Nino

Knows how to party.. (I couldn’t resist) According to Kelly Redmond the deputy director and regional climatologist for the Western Regional Climate Center at the Desert Research Institute in Reno. “The Lake Tahoe Basin, on the California-Nevada border, will almost assuredly get more precipitation than it did last winter”… however, there is little to suggest that a big El Niño will produce more snow”. Redmond instead, thinks this season storms will likely produce precipitation in extreme events.

Is climate change really happening? Well, it seems places like Lake Tahoe are getting warmer. The weather models are showing it will once again be a warm winter, not as warm as last year though. Either way words like warm and winter should never be uttered in the same sentence. Keep in mind snow only forms when temperatures hit freezing or below, so if Tahoe sees moisture but temps fail to drop down below freezing you may find a bunch of unhappy campers at Squaw Valley and resorts across the lake. That is unless you prefer skiing in the rain, Northwest style.

All this being said, Tahoe resorts opened last week and some were full-on powder days. Even Mammoth looked good as you headed south. Another hidden gem that I talked about last season is Mt. Baldy located 45 minutes from downtown LA. Every 10 to 20 years or so this place becomes magically legendary and heavily all at once. Being able to rip big mountain pow lines for 3,000+ vert and then catch evening glass off is one of the (possibly Only) benefits to living in So Cal.

yeah thats downtown Los Angeles Photo William Reid

The Southern Rockies

This is the place to be, hands down. One of my friends actually just pulled the trigger and moved to Taos for the season. (Robbie – V if you’re reading this, you are going to have the best winter on record!!) As you can see from the NOAA weather maps below the southern Rockies look to be cold and wet with plenty of moisture flowing out of the Pacific from now until February and the extended models are showing the same.

In fact, we may not really see the real effects of this season’s El Niño until March and April of 2016. This will be a winter that hangs around for a while if you enjoy spring you may want to book a surf trip. Otherwise, places like Silverton and Durango should offer great ski touring and splitboard opportunities late into the season.

Green and Blue are good, Red and Brown are bad

The Northern Rockies

Last winter the Tetons were going off until around late Feb. Exceptionally warm temperatures allowed Jackson Hole to have one of the driest March on record in the past 49 years. After 3 months of nonstop pow riding on Teton Pass things changed quickly. March saw the third-lowest snowfall in Rendezvous Bowl in 49 seasons.

Not into lift lines? Grand Targhee Resort would be a solid choice for finding deep snow this winter. Targhee is opening up today, with fresh snow, no lift lines, and just a fun vibe all around. You won’t find people here fighting in the Tram Line, in the Trap bar perhaps but that’s your fault if you hang out in bars. All kidding aside Grand Targhee is an often overlooked little sister or big brother to that other resort on the other side of the Tetons. You know the one called Snow King Mountain.

And if you really want to find some pow, we’re willing to bet if you head farther up North, like into Canada eh you may just find some deep, light density blower pow on the higher elevation Northern Aspects. Please like Stellar Heli will at some point turn on this season. It’s much closer than AK and you can get just as rad!

What about La Nina?  Learn more about where to find the best conditions for La Nina Weather and Snowfall.

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About the Author

Mike Hardaker
Mike Hardaker grew up surfing and snowboarding in Orange County and followed his love of surfing to Hawaii before eventually moving to the mountains to concentrate on snowboarding. When not on a board, Mike worked for Snowboarder and later oversaw TGR's online publication. He went on to found Mountain Weekly News where he is still CEO and Editor in Chief. Mike spends most of his time splitboarding in the winter months and backpacking throughout the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem in the summer.

16 Comments on "El Niño Weather and Snowfall Picks"

  1. Predicting the weather is a fools errand, yet something to pontificate over a beer or ten.

  2. 23″ at Angel Fire out of the storm this weekend!!!

  3. Already Looking to be a great winter!

  4. You really have to proofread your articles

  5. 360 at the AZ Snowbowl for the 2010 El Nino winter, 460+ for the 04, 2005 season.

  6. Kachina. Not Kochina.

    • Appreciate that! However you spell it, that peak and the run that followed were one of the best runs I have experienced, and it was chokers blower powder in New Mexico??

  7. Nice article but just missed a few things, the recent moderate El Nino was 2009-10 I was at Taos that year we had 386 inches, and some longtime locals here say the 578 inch season was 1978-79 not 72-73.

    And something nice to know about Wolf Creek; 2010-11 was a La Nina year, one of the best Winters in Colorado since the late 90s, nearly 800 inches were recorded at this ski area

    • Yeah, I believe it was 1978-1979 that was the big snow year at Taos. I hiked and skied Kachina Peak on July 4, 1979.

    • Jim,

      Thanks for the comment and for the update on the 78/79 season. Have always wanted to roll the dice on a season down in Taos, this may be the year…

  8. It’s Angel Fire, not “Angle”. 🙂

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